Monsoon Watch ending 21st April 2018

Model is showing continuously negative Indian Ocean Dipole and neutral pacific sea condition.

Long range forecast for four month is issued by IMD and it declared 97 % of LPA. 96 % to 104 % is known normal monsoon.

29^th April to 02^nd May Bay of Bengal will show some convective activity as per GFS model. On 24^th of April model report will be updated.