Onset of NorthEast Monsoon & Weekly Report from 22 to 28th October
Realised Weather and Forecast for Maharashtra, Goa and Gujarat State. (22nd October to 28th October)
North East Monsoon watch
Last week was the season of withdrawal of Southwest monsoon. After completing four months of journey, south westerly wind started turning into Northeasterly winds. For coming two months monsoon is set over south India and are called north east monsoon. Maximum area of peninsular India gets the rainfall in this monsoonal wind period. North East monsoon is beneficial season for crop in southern India.
On 25th October in view of the setting in of north easterly to easterly wind in the lower atmosphere south west monsoon withdrawn from entire country.
North East monsoon set in over the country on Friday 27th October 2017 since the North East wind is completely established over Bay of Bengal. As shown in the picture above presence of anti cyclonic (clockwise) circulation over North West Bay of Bengal and presence of cyclonic (anti clockwise) circulation over south east Tamilnadu is a sign of Northeast monsoon to hit eastern coast.
The Thai Met Department said on 27th morning that the North-East monsoon is set to intensify over the lower South China Sea and adjoining Gulf of Thailand over the next few days. North East monsoon is important for the crop in south peninsular India. Circulation in lower south China sea is expected to move in south east Bay of Bengal. This may give heavy rain to North Tamilnadu, Puduchery and adjoining Andhra Pradesh.
On the below links of simulation weather model you will differentiate the flow of southwesterly winds during Southwest monsoon and northeasterly winds during Northeast monsoon:
See the Southwesterly winds during Southwest Monsoon
See how the wind reversed into Northeasterly winds over South India explaining the above picture.
Delayed Withdrawal of Southwest Monsoon
This year monsoon withdrawal is delayed by ten days. Over west Rajasthan instead of withdrawing on 01st September it withdrawn on 27th September. The reason behind this was activeness of Bay of Bengal. The last system of Bay of Bengal on 21ST converted in to depression. However it did not travel across the country. It moved to Bangladesh giving rain to Odisha, West Bengal.
Weather Last Week:
In last week rainfall occurred at south Konkan – Goa and Marathwada at one or two places. In the first half of the week day temperature and night temperature did not come down over the Gujarat, Maharashtra & Goa state but in second half of the week the night temperature came down little over Madhya Maharashtra, Vidarbha and Marathwada.
Forecast for the week 29thOctober to 04th November
North East monsoon established over the country and may intensify over east coast.
North Konkan (Greater Mumbai, Thane, Raigad and Palghar):- Sunny weather will prevail over the area. Day temperature will be between 32 deg c and 34 deg c. Night temperature will be between 20 deg c and 22 deg c. up to 31stthere after it will increase by 1 or 2 deg c.
South Konkan– Goa:– Districts of south Konkan – Goa will observe sunny days. Day temperaturewill be between 32 and 34 deg C on 29th and 30th afterward it will decrease by 1 or 2 degree. Night temperature will be between 20 and 22 deg C.
North Madhya Maharashtra:- Districts of North Madhya Maharashtra will experience clear sky full week. Day temperature will be between 30 – 32 on 29th and between 32 – 34 on 30th 31st 01st and it will fall to 28 – 30 on 02nd 03rd and 04th. Night temperature will be between 18 – 20 degree full week.
South Madhya Maharashtra:- Districts of South Madhya Maharashtra will observe clear skies. Day temperature will be between 28 – 30 degree during first three days of the week. Later during last four days it will be between 26 and 28 degree. Night temperature will be between 16 and 18 degree full week.
Marathwada :- Districts of Marathwada will experience clear skies. Day temperature will be between 28 degree and 30 degree Celsius. Night temperature will be between 16 degree and 18 degree.
Vidarbha :- Vidarbha also will observe clear skies. Day temperature will be between 30 deg and 32 degree on 29 30 31 and 01 after ward it will reduce by one or two degree. Night temperature will be between 18 degree and 20 degree full week.
Gujarat state :- There will be dry weather over Gujarat state. Day temperature over North Gujarat will be between 34 – 36 on 29 and 30 it will increase by one deg on 31 and there after again 34 -36 degree c. Night temperature will be between 18 and 20 degree over North Gujarat.
South Gujarat will experience like north Konkan. Day temperature will be between 33 deg and 35 degree full week and night temperature will be between 20 and 22 degree full week.
Day temperature of Saurashtra area will be between 32 and 34 degree but on 31st October it will be little more. Night temperature will be between 20 and 22 degree.
Kutch area will observe day temperature between 32 and 34 and night temperature between 20 and 22 degree.
