Realised weather during the week 16-09-2018 to 22-09-2018.
Monsoon trough was almost at the foot hills of Himalaya full week. Eastern part of trough was later in week came southward because of cyclonic storm “Daye” formed in Bay of Bengal on the night of 21st September. Due to this Storm Interior Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha and West Madhya Pradesh received good rain.
The position of storm and it’s weakening:
- The storm remained as Cyclone for short time on the 21st night and weakened later into deep depression and than depression.
- It took a recurve from West Madhya Pradesh and will remain as “Well marked low” over Rajasthan on 23rd Sept.
- By 24th it will reach the region of Uttarakhand as a low and merge with the Western Disturbance.
- This system recurved under the effect of Western Disturbance which is at little higher level moving west ward.
Below is the satellite image of formation of Cyclone Daye and second picture showing well marked low over Rajasthan:
Image source: IMD
Forecast for the week 23-09-2018 to 29-o9-2018.
Due to northwesterly wind northern part of Maharashtra and Gujarat state will be dry full week. Districts of South Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada and South Konkan will receive light passing shower. Day temperature of interior Maharashtra will increase by 2 to 3 degree because of intense day sun radiation.
Interior part of peninsular India will have increase in day temperature.
Bengluru and interior Tamil Nadu will experience thunder activity with rain at few places for next 2 to 3 days while Kerala and Telangana will experience rain at few places.
Monsoon trough has to reduce its length from western part as anticyclone taking shape over West Rajasthan and adjoining Kutch. Withdrawal of monsoon will take place from Northwest India during this week. Monsoon trough will slowly become shorter in length from western part. Arabian sea will have anticyclone. North – South trough will develop over peninsular India.