The southwest monsoon completely withdrew from the entire country on Thursday, 15 October 2026. According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), this final exit happened exactly on its long-period average normal date.
Simultaneously, the northeast (winter) monsoon rainfall activity commenced over parts of south Peninsular India on the very same day.

Fair Weather over Central, Western and Northern India

An anti-cyclone continues to persist over western Madhya Pradesh and the adjoining Gujarat region. Under its influence, predominantly fair weather is expected over Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Gujarat and Chhattisgarh during the forecast period.

In the absence of an active Western Disturbance, skies are likely to remain mostly clear over Haryana, Delhi, Punjab and western Uttar Pradesh, with predominantly sunny conditions throughout the week.

Rainfall Activity over South India

The Northeast Monsoon remains active over southern India, bringing significant rainfall activity to several regions.

Intense rainfall is forecast over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal on 19 and 20 October. Kerala, Mahe and South Interior Karnataka are likely to experience widespread rainfall during 18–23 October.

Interior Tamil Nadu, interior Kerala and South Interior Karnataka may also experience thunderstorms accompanied by heavy rainfall at intervals during the week.

Thunderstorm and Gusty Wind Activity

Telangana and parts of Andhra Pradesh are likely to experience thunderstorms accompanied by gusty winds during the early part of the week.

Isolated thunderstorms, lightning and gusty winds reaching 40–50 kmph are forecast over South Konkan, Goa and Marathwada on 19 and 20 October. Parts of Madhya Maharashtra may also experience thunderstorm activity during this period.

Warm Weather over North Konkan

Typically warm conditions are expected to prevail over North Konkan from the middle of the week through the end of the forecast period.

Fishermen Warning

Fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea along the Karnataka and Kerala coasts and in the Lakshadweep area until 19 October, as rough sea conditions are expected.

Weather Outlook

Overall, fair and predominantly sunny weather is expected across much of central, western and northern India, while active Northeast Monsoon conditions will bring widespread rainfall and thunderstorms to parts of southern India. Thunderstorm activity with gusty winds is also likely over parts of the Deccan region and Maharashtra during the early part of the week.