The below article gives the information about: History & Background of Long Range Forecast (LRF) What is Long Period Average (LPA)? How LPA value is calculated? Various Long Range Forecast for Monsoon Rainfall Methods of forecasting What is Ensemble Statistical Forecasting System? Monsoon Rainfall category for LRF History & Background […]
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IMD issued a Long Range Forecast on Monday 15th April 2019. This time India Meteorological Department has used the word “NEAR NORMAL”. It is difficult to understand whether it means ‘NORMAL’ or ‘BELOW NORMAL’. Let us study the data given by the IMD and try to understand. As per the […]
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India Meteorological Department has issued first stage of Long Range Forecast (LRF) 2018 for Indian Monsoon season. LRF means how the monsoon season will be over India. Taking rainfall data for 50 years IMD has calculated that if average rainfall over India is 88.7 cm then it is supposed to […]
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(Before reading this report do read about meanings of terms used in LRF report for better understanding.) IMD’s Long Range Forecast (LRF) for April 2017 in brief: India Meteorological Department the country’s national weather forecaster predicted normal monsoon rainfall for this year on 18th April. Further IMD said that monsoon rainfall […]
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The private agency Sky Met also predicted 95% but they told it below normal. Sky Met also said that there will be zero % chances of excess rainfall. Sky Met predicted distribution also and clearly told about month wise rainfall. Following table can be made from the announcement of Sky […]
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