Realised weather during the week 08-07-2018 to 14-07-2018.
On 8th the Low over North West Bay of Bengal entered and moved up to North Odisha as Cyclonic Circulation. This Cyclonic Circulation moved up to South Central part of UP crossing Chhattisgarh and North East Madhya Pradesh. Due to this system Vidarbha and Marathwada including Northern part of Madhya Maharashtra received good rain. Nagpur was flooded during these days.
Another Cyclonic Circulation was over South Gujarat region. This System also poured rain over South Gujarat region and North Konkan districts. On 9th July 2018, Dahanu recorded 350 mm of rain. Some of the heavy rainfall figures. On 8th at 0830 Santacrus 13cm, Mahabaleshwar 12 cm, on 9th at 0830 Santacruz recorded 12 cm, Colaba 17 cm.
Districts of Palghar was flooded with all train services disrupted
Apart from these two system an east – west shear zone also seen at Latitude 19 Degree North, Which also supported to scale up the rain amount.
From 12th heavy rainfall area shifted northward and on 12th Khandawa – 15 cm, Balsad 11 cm, Surat – 10 cm. On 13th Saurashtra and South Gujarat region again got heavy rainfall.
In short monsoon was active over Central India and Central West India.
Forecast for the week 15-07-2018 to 21-07-2018 for Maharashtra, Goa & Gujarat:
In the coming week monsoon will be active over Central India and Central West India from 15th to 18th July. Specially Gujarat state will receive good amount of rainfall. Marathwada and Vidarbha area also will get moderate rain during this period. 19th to 21st July rainfall activity will be less over interior Maharashtra and Gujarat state. Western coast also will experience less rainfall amount during the week.
In the coming week Low over North West Bay of Bengal will enter to land area and move towards Northwest India. This system will give rainfall to Northern part of Central India and even the system may take the rainfall activity to West Rajasthan. Another Low will be forming over Northwest Bay of Bengal around 19th July. These systems forming in Bay of Bengal will not allow monsoon trough to move northward. It is a fact that if the monsoon trough is south of its normal position, central part and northern part of central India get good rainfall.